Why We Still Haven’t Learned the Lessons From Four Years Ago

Renée Fishman
3 min readNov 2, 2020

After the debacle with polls in 2016, why were we so quick to believe again?

Photo by Elliott Stallion on Unsplash

Four years ago, a large percentage of Americans, and spectators around the world, were shocked by the “unexpected” outcome of the U.S. election.

The outcome was “unexpected” only for those who were locked in the echo chamber of their social feeds and blindly believing the media coverage and the pollsters.

Four years later, it seems we haven’t learned the lessons from 2016. The media once again has hit heavy daily polling results, claiming that this time it’s different.

It’s not different.

Why We Are Tempted By Polling Results

The desire to believe in polls is understandable: uncertainty makes us freak out.

We are wired to need certainty; we want — actually, need — to know what is going to happen. So we’ll cling to anything that seems reasonable.

This year, as the pandemic has shattered our previous illusions of certainty, it’s even more tempting to believe in the polls, especially if they’re telling you what you want to hear — but even if they’re not.



Renée Fishman

Creating a new paradigm of productivity for high-achieving ADHD women tired of the hustle. Founder,The Ritual Revolution™️. http://theritualrevolution.com